Sitemap - 2023 - Fallacy Alarm
A closer look at stock bond correlation
My template for trading natural gas futures
Dec'23 Trader positioning update
The party is on. What comes after?
Finger on the pulse of the US banking system
Tracking Fiscal Flows in REAL TIME
MSTR: The mother of all sh**cos.
BioVie: Taken in chokehold by its majority shareholder (incl. Excel workbook)
LMND 3Q23: Real juice or just squeezing?
How are US households really exposed to the rate hikes?
The Great Vindication of Modern Monetary Theory?
Resetting expectations for Tesla (incl. Excel workbook)
PCAR 3Q23: Looking toppy (incl. Excel workbook)
Winnebago 4Q23: Thesis Update (incl. Excel workbook)
THE most important alpha generation tool
Lilly, Novo and the quest for curing obesity (incl. Excel workbook)
What's crowded? Bond longs or shorts?
Birkenstock: Put your sandals on and run away (incl. Excel workbook)
Commitment of Traders Report 29Sep23
A wild scenario for the Treasury Yield Curve
IonQ: I believe this thing is real.
TSLA: Big upgrade from Morgan Stanley!
Winnebago: Short squeeze ahead? (incl. Excel valuation model)
Commitment of Traders Report 25Aug23
NVDA 2Q24: Green is the color of envy.
Aug'23 Bank of America Fund Manager Survey
The Tesla Transformation 2030 (incl. Excel Model)
RKT 2Q23: Shaking off the mortgage rate shock
LMND 2Q23: Still an excellent short idea
The importance of identifying investing synergies
Shorting UVXY: Madness or Money Maker?
Commitment of Traders Report 21Jul23
Tesla 2Q23: Patience is a Virtue
This is where 2023 differs from 2008.
Supercomputers: A tale of shovels and nuggets.
Commitment of Traders Report 16Jun23
CAPREIT: Betting on the Canadian Century
AirBnB: Defying the Disruptor's Deflation Dilemma
Pumping Up the Heat: Carrier's Growth Transformation
Mobileye 1Q23: Cross-Read for Tesla FSD
TSLA 1Q23: 3 months nope, 3 years dope
TSLA Earnings Preview: Fruits are hanging low. (incl. Excel Model)
Quantifying the Tesla Insurance Opportunity (incl. Excel Model)
The next round of QE might happen without an official Fed program.
Liquidity Provision Risk Premium and the Cost of Leverage
The Fed just reversed 4 months QT in 4 days.
Enough with the Fear Porn already.
Here is why I'm not buying bonds.
What's the Value of Tesla FSD? (incl. Excel Model)
The Great Pandemic Era Option Bubble
Lessons from Economic & Demographic History
Fluence 1Q23 cross-read for Tesla Energy
S&P 5,000 by Christmas 2023? (Excel Workbook included)
What might Tesla Finance look like? (Excel Model included)
Update of my TSLA 2023 EPS Estimate based on 4Q22 Earnings (Excel Model included)
What might Tesla's 2023 EPS look like? (Excel Model included)